trade war impacts india

The United States is set to impose new tariffs on India, starting April 2, 2025. This decision follows a pledge made by former President Trump, who cited India's high import taxes on American goods as the main reason. The tariffs will target key Indian exports such as auto parts, electronics, and textiles. This move is part of a broader strategy that has seen similar actions taken against countries like China, Mexico, and Canada.

India now has less than four weeks to develop a response strategy to these tariffs.

In 2024, the U.S. was India's largest trading partner, with bilateral trade amounting to $129.2 billion. India exported $87.4 billion worth of goods to the U.S. while importing $41.8 billion. The U.S. accounted for 17.7% of India's total exports, leading to a trade deficit of $45.7 billion in India's favor. The U.S. aims to address this trade imbalance through its new tariff policy.

Several Indian sectors will be affected by the tariffs. The automobile industry could face tariffs exceeding 100%, while the electronics sector may also see significant duty increases. Textiles, gems, and jewelry exports are at risk as well. The chemical and seafood industries could also be targeted. Furthermore, increased competition from China is expected as U.S. tariffs may lead to Chinese exporters discounting their goods.

Economists project that up to 30% or $25 billion of India's U.S. exports may be impacted. This could lead to reduced demand for key industries like pharmaceuticals and IT services. Additionally, the current trade partnerships are shifting as nations adapt to new economic realities, drawing critical insights from past confrontations.

India's government has begun consultations with stakeholders to assess the impact of these tariffs. They are considering tariff reductions in sectors of interest to the U.S. and exploring ways to boost defense and oil purchases from America.

India's strategy may include diversifying export markets and strengthening trade alliances. It's clear that the upcoming tariffs could lead to significant economic shifts for both nations.

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